Cities & Communities | Brookings: The local implications of data centers for rural communities in the US

Glenn

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Date posted

March 2, 2026

Source: Cities & Communities | Brookings
Author: unknown
Date published: 2026-03-02
[original article can be accessed via hyperlink at the end]

Executive summary


Market and geopolitical forces are accelerating the race to develop artificial intelligence (AI), and the rapidly rising demand for computing power is bringing large-scale data center proposals to rural America. National policymakers increasingly view these facilities as strategic infrastructure tied to the country’s future economic competitiveness and national security—particularly amid concerns that leadership in advanced AI will shape global economic and political power and provide the ability to integrate democratic values into the deployment and use of this technology.

As a result, rural communities are becoming the nexus of a national data center build-out that is moving fast and creating high-pressure decisions regarding land use, fiscal policy, workforce development, and resource management for local leaders and communities—who may lack the staffing, expertise, or plans in place to advance their interests while juggling accelerated timelines and the complexity that comes with this industrial development. 

This symposium examined the local implications of AI and data center development for rural communities across the United States. Participants explored how communities weigh promised economic gains—tax revenue, jobs, and infrastructure investment—against incentives as well as short- and long-term costs, including changes in land use, water demand, and strain on local and regional electrical grids and public services. In light of financial incentives, compressed timelines, and confidential negotiations, the symposium emphasized that the central question is not simply whether data centers are “good” or “bad,” but how benefits and risks get allocated—and what forms of governance, local authority and planning, and transparency can help local leaders maximize the local benefits while protecting community interests.

The opening session laid out the national imperative, providing an overview that linked federal AI priorities with state and local governance responses and the priorities guiding the industry’s investments and siting. The subsequent panel examined the on-the-ground economic and infrastructure considerations affecting rural places: the amount, type, quality, duration, and local attainability of jobs; the scale of electricity and water requirements; and how utility regulation and rate-setting shape affordability and reliability for rural ratepayers. The final session focused on how local communities experience implementation: zoning and approval processes, community engagement, fiscal policies and incentives, the realities of negotiating with developers, and the extent to which communities can secure enforceable commitments and tangible benefits. 

Across these discussions, a broad set of takeaways emerged. Participants repeatedly returned to an underlying tension: Data centers are framed nationally as urgent strategic infrastructure, yet their impacts are experienced locally, where legitimacy, zoning capacity, and public accountability often determine whether projects proceed.

Panelists identified electricity infrastructure and utility regulation as key issues shaping grid readiness, upgrading timelines, and cost allocation for large loads. Individual and aggregate experiences regarding employment were mixed, given the difference between construction surges and durable jobs, and the varying degrees of job quality, local attainability, and incentives. It is also difficult to isolate the jobs that data centers create versus the movement of workers within sectors like construction and IT.

Revenue and fiscal impacts also seem variable, depending upon the type and duration of incentives; negotiated payments in lieu of taxes; and the level of partnership with developers. The discussion reinforced that local support hinges on trusted information, transparency, fairness, clear guidelines, and governance capacity to ensure inclusive processes that advance community interests. Without clear, measurable local benefits and practical local oversight, communities face heightened risk of uneven gains; long-run obligations, even as technological innovation may change needs and uses; and conflicts over authority as the build-out accelerates. 

Key insights

Participants highlighted the following as foundational elements for maximizing the benefits of this industrial development: 

  • Rural communities are central to maintaining U.S. leadership in AI development and should be treated as partners with meaningful input and leverage to benefit from siting decisions. 
  • Technological improvements in chip design and data center infrastructure may reduce power and cooling needs but are unlikely to substantially change the pace and scale of current industrial development, given the urgency of rising demand. 
  • Local opposition is likely to soon become the leading constraint on data center siting and approvals. Such opposition cuts across political divisions at the local level. While the affordability of electricity and water management are important issues, the overriding concerns in many cases seem to be more about the loss of a community’s way of life and local control over its future. 
  • The employment benefits of data centers are variable and often overstated. Local rural communities would benefit from a greater focus on job quality, duration, and what is necessary to make positions attainable for residents. 
  • Infrastructure and resource demands—including electricity, water, public services, and even environmental and housing pressures—are critical considerations for local governments when evaluating the long-term viability and sustainability of data centers, especially where systems are already strained. Local governments generally have limited authority over these impacts, yet their residents are affected by changes in prices, service demands, and environmental impacts. 
  • Data centers have the potential to generate significant local economic benefits through local tax revenue or payments in lieu of taxes and increased business activity. These are variable depending on the project, local and state policy, and deals negotiated with the developer. The authority and capability of rural communities to negotiate maximum benefits and protect community interests are highly variable, and negotiations with developers are often asymmetrical. 
  • Data center opposition often feeds off distrust, misinformation, and opaque negotiations; confidentiality agreements that developers pursue with local officials can make residents feel blindsided and at a disadvantage. Lack of clear standards for ensuring that community benefits are proportional to the scale of investment and a project’s estimated impacts leaves local leaders and residents without good benchmarks for determining the quality of a proposed deal. 
  • Ensuring that rural places benefit from data centers requires that local leaders have the capacity to develop a shared vision with residents, negotiate directly with developers, and engage with relevant stakeholders to set clear priorities and secure enforceable commitments aligned with long-term development plans.

Ongoing debates

While symposium attendees reached consensus on the insights discussed above, several areas of tension remained unresolved and would benefit from ongoing research, analysis, and discussions: 

  • How should communities balance confidential negotiations and competitive site selection pressures with the transparency needs for public legitimacy and informed decisionmaking? 
  • What is necessary to help local officials shift from a mindset of capturing basic benefits—jobs, revenue—to using leverage to shape a new economic future out of a data center partnership? 
  • Are there standards and mutually agreed-upon elements that can help localities and states avoid a race to the bottom, competing on incentives and trade-offs that cut potential benefits to the bone? 
  • To what extent are different state policies constraining or even undercutting the benefits that localities might access? How can federal policy balance the interests and autonomy of local governments and stakeholders, and enhance democratic accountability, while seeking to advance national security and economic competitiveness? 
  • To what extent is local opposition driven by information gaps versus values, place identity, and land-use concerns that additional disclosure cannot resolve? 
  • How can local leaders and communities be better prepared to weigh short-term fiscal gains against long-term infrastructure and public service obligations, including grid upgrades, emergency response capacity, and water systems? 
  • How generalizable is the assertion that data centers create good jobs, especially when weighed against empirical labor-market effects and the differences between construction phases and long-term operation? 
  • What past industrial or infrastructure development trends in rural America most closely resemble today’s data center boom and can provide useful insights and lessons? How do differing perspectives on historical context influence how policymakers approach these projects?
  • Given wide variation across utilities, grids, and local fiscal structures, what findings about data centers can responsibly be generalized versus what must remain place-specific?

Opportunities for further research

The moderated discussions of the symposium revealed several critical questions that merit further investigation: 

  • What practical standards or benchmarks can communities use to assess whether community benefits are proportionate to a data center’s scale, fiscal returns, and local costs? 
  • What disclosure standards constitute “minimum viable transparency” for local approvals, and how can they function to build trust among residents and minimize misinformation? 
  • What structures make community benefits and information sharing between developers and host communities enforceable across varying state enabling authorities, staffing levels, and local legal capacity? 
  • Which large-load tariff designs best prevent cost-shifting to existing ratepayers, and how do outcomes vary across utility structures and regulatory regimes? 
  • What state-level policy approaches to data centers, including incentives, permitting, and zoning frameworks, and utility-related rules, are emerging across the country, and how do they shape siting outcomes, local oversight capacity, and alignment with national AI and security priorities? 
  • What are the causal local labor-market effects of data centers beyond construction peaks, including direct employment outcomes and secondary job effects in suppliers, contractors, and digital-adjacent industries (wages, local hiring shares, credential pipelines, and potential displacement or wage inflation in competing sectors)? 
  • What types of mutually agreed arrangements provide durable fiscal benefits over a 20-30 year horizon, and which revenue channels (property taxes, power-linked fees) are most stable or volatile? 
  • How are data centers independently producing power outside of local electrical grids, including backup generators, and how feasible is the strategy for developers? 
  • What planning tools can reduce stranded-asset risk for communities (phased approvals, decommissioning bonds, escrow accounts, adaptive reuse plans, or performance milestones)? 
  • How do cumulative impacts scale in cluster regions, and what monitoring/mitigation packages measurably reduce public opposition and externalities? 

Relevant resources

“$64 Billion of Data Center Projects Have Been Blocked or Delayed amid Local Opposition.” Data Center Watch. https://www.datacenterwatch.org/report  

Goetzel, Daniel, Mark Muro, and Shriya Methkupally. “Turning the data center boom into long-term, local prosperity.” Brookings, February 5, 2026. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/turning-the-data-center-boom-into-long-term-local-prosperity/ 

Hicks, Michael. “Data Centers and Local Job Creation.” The Country Economist Substack, November 10, 2025. https://michaeljhicks.substack.com/p/data-centers-and-local-job-creation 

Johnston, Jeff, and Teri Viswanath. “Could Data Centers Be the Catalyst for Modernizing the U.S. Electric Grid?” CoBank, September 24, 2024. https://www.cobank.com/documents/7714906/7715341/SustainableEnergyBlueprint-Sep24.pdf/31c1622e-2467-50f5-3cf0-2e2212f7e1b2?t=1727128938985

Kane, Joseph. “AI, Data Centers, and Water.” Brookings, November 20, 2025. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/ai-data-centers-and-water/  

Kush Patel et al. “Forecasting Large Loads in the Age of AI and Data Centers.” Energy and Environmental Economics, December 2025. https://www.ethree.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/E3Whitepaper_DataCenterForecasting.pdf  

Lee, Nicol Turner, and Darrell M. West. “Why community benefit agreements are necessary for data centers.” Brookings, January 29, 2026. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-community-benefit-agreements-are-necessary-for-data-centers/  

Michael Blackhurst et al. “Data Center Growth Could Increase Electricity Bills 8% Nationally and as Much as 25% in Some Regional Markets.” Carnegie Mellon University, July 16, 2025. https://www.cmu.edu/work-that-matters/energy-innovation/data-center-growth-could-increase-electricity-bills  

Turner, Mike. “Loudoun County, Virginia: Data Center Capital of the World, ‘A Strategy for a Changing Paradigm.” Loudoun County, October 20, 2025. https://www.loudoun.gov/ArchiveCenter/ViewFile/Item/13979  

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The local implications of data centers for rural communities in the US

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